SOMETCUBA Bulletin

Volume 5 Number 2

August 1999


APPLICATION OF HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL IN WEATHER FORECASTING OVER CUBAN TERRITORY, WITH POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVEMENT PREDICTION

by

Ida Mitrani Arenal

Instituto de Meteorología
Ministerio de Ciencia Tecnología y Medio Ambiente
Loma de Casa Blanca
A.P. 17032, Habana 17, C.P.-11700, Cuba
Fax. (537) 33 80 10

and

José Luis Pérez

CCA/UNAM; México

Abstracts

Some experiences about work with MM5 model from Penn State/NCAR (Fifth Generation Mesoscale Modeling system from Pennsylvania State University/ National Center for Atmospheric Research) are described. Using meteorological information from September-November /1998, during the second half of hurricane Atlantic season, experimental work was development. The MM5 version generated by Dr. Victor Magaña and Lic. José Luis Pérez in July 1998 at the CCA/UNAM ( Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera de la Universidad Autónoma de México) was used. In this version, every data assimilation process and model algorithm were prepared for personal computer. The AVN global model provides the initial fields (geopotential high, temperature, relative humidity and wind components at 1000,850, 700,500, 400,300,200,100 hPa levels and pressure and air temperature at surface level). An adaptation to Cuban territory was realized. Two nested grid in Lambert projection, the external for Inter - American Sea and the internal for Cuban territory, were used. Their central coordinates are located at 23°N and 80°W. The experimental results indicate that the MM5 model is very efficient for short range prediction in tropical latitudes, especially in presence of notable events like frontal systems, tropical cyclones and tropical waves.

Introducción (Only Spanish version available)WB01512_.gif (115 bytes)


Copyright © 1998, 1999 Cuban Meteorological Society
Last modified: August 04, 1999

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