SOMETCUBA Bulletin

Volume 4 Number 2

July 1998


ROLE OF TELECONECTIVE INDEXES AND ENSO IN RAIN PREDICTABILITY IN CUBA

by Pedro A. Cárdenas Pérez

Centro Nacional del Clima
Instituto de Meteorología

Abstracts

The possibility of utilization of teleconnection and ENSO indices in long term total rain forecast is concluded here. Lag relationship between total monthly rain anomalies for two rain periods are calculated, with the ENSO empirical occurrence index (IE) and South Oscillation Index (SOI) showing the great correlation values for atmospheric parameters . For the sea surface temperature anomalies, the lag correlation have the great correlation’s with Niño34 in dray season months and North Atlantic anomalies for rainy season months.

Article (Only Spanish version available)


Copyright © 1998, 1999 Cuban Meteorological Society
Last modified: August 19, 1998

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